The Youth Bulge: Central Asia’s Demographic Dividend or a Ticking Time Bomb?

DIMITRY IBRAGIMOV, ALEXANDER MALKOV, ALEXANDER A. MALTSEV

While the developed North watches its median age drift toward retirement, Central Asia is experiencing a biological fever, surpassed only by Sub-Saharan Africa and demographic titans like Pakistan. This is an extreme challenge: will this surplus of youthful energy become the fuel for an "economic miracle" akin to the Asian Tigers, or, according to Gunnar Heinsohn’s theory, will it turn into a combustible mix ready to detonate at the slightest friction between ambition and reality?